Showing posts with label Quotes. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Quotes. Show all posts

Monday, January 21, 2013

Some David Rosenberg Rules to Remember

This list comes from Economist David Rosenberg, formerly Merrill Lynch’s chief dismal scientist, now at Gluskin Sheff:
1. In order for an economic forecast to be relevant, it must be combined with a market call.
2. Never be a slave to the date – they are no substitute for astute observation of the big picture.

3. The consensus rarely gets it right and almost always errs on the side of optimism – except at the bottom.

4. Fall in love with your partner, not your forecast.

5. No two cycles are ever the same.

6. Never hide behind your model.

7. Always seek out corroborating evidence.

8. Have respect for what the markets are telling you.

9. Be constantly aware with your forecast horizon – many clients live in the short run.

10. Of all the market forecasters, Mr. Bond gets it right most often.

11. Highlight the risks to your forecasts.

12. Get the US consumer right and everything else will take care of itself.

13. Expansions are more fun than recessions (straight from Bob Farrell’s quiver!).

Some Warren Buffet quotes on investing and the stock market

Money Management: “In the 20th century, the United States endured two world wars and other traumatic and expensive military conflicts; the Depression; a dozen or so recessions and financial panics; oil shocks; a flu epidemic; and the resignation of a disgraced president. Yet the Dow rose from 66 to 11,497.”

The Business of Investing: “I always knew I was going to be rich. I don’t think I ever doubted it for a minute.”

The Investor Self: “It’s better to hang out with people better than you. Pick out associates whose behavior is better than yours and you’ll drift in that direction.”

Market Analysis: “Risk comes from not knowing what you’re doing.”

Routines: “The business schools reward difficult complex behavior more than simple behavior, but simple behavior is more effective.”

Stalking: “I don’t look to jump over 7-foot bars; I look around for 1-foot bars that I can step over.”

Buying: “Why not invest your assets in the companies you really like? As Mae West said, “Too much of a good thing can be wonderful.”

Monitoring Positions: “Rule No. 1: Never lose money. Rule No. 2: Never forget Rule No. 1.”

Selling: “Should you find yourself in a chronically leaking boat, energy devoted to changing vessels is likely to be more productive than energy devoted to patching leaks.”

Review: “If past history was all there was to the game, the richest people would be librarians.”